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NCAA Football Predictive Ratings
24 October 2004
See also:
Retrodictive Ratings
NCAA Football Hotlist 25
How to find your perfect rating system:

If you think last week's winner should be higher than the loser
   use the hotlists.
If you think the teams that are the highest scoring should be higher
   use the predictive ratings.
If you think the teams that absolutely hate to lose should be highest
   use the retrodictive ratings.
If you just want to know what I think
   use the combined lists.
The following values are estimates of the scoring strength of the NCAA teams.
1 USC                 107.2
2 California           99.4
3 Texas                97.1
4 Auburn               96.6
5 Oklahoma             95.7
6 Louisville           95.3
7 Miami FL             91.8
8 Florida State        91.8
9 Utah                 90.3
10 Georgia             90.1
11 Arkansas            89.7
12 Virginia            89.1
13 Virginia Tech       89.0
14 Tennessee           88.8
15 Texas A&M           88.7
16 LSU                 87.5
17 Texas Tech          87.0
18 Purdue              86.6
19 West Virginia       86.2
20 Oregon State        85.2
21 Iowa                84.9
22 Arizona State       84.7
23 Wake Forest         84.3
24 Oklahoma State      84.3
25 Minnesota           84.1
26 Ohio State          83.9
27 Wisconsin           83.8
28 UTEP                83.6
29 Georgia Tech        83.4
30 Michigan            82.7
31 Kansas State        81.6
32 Florida             81.3
33 NC State            81.0
34 Alabama             80.9
35 Missouri            79.9
36 Michigan State      78.7
37 Maryland            78.1
38 Bowling Green       77.9
39 Notre Dame          77.6
40 Syracuse            77.5
41 Colorado            77.4
42 Boise State         77.4
43 Penn State          77.3
44 Oregon              77.0
45 Southern Miss       77.0
46 Boston College      75.8
47 Toledo              75.7
48 Stanford            75.7
49 UCLA                75.2
50 Connecticut         74.8
51 Marshall            74.7
52 Northwestern        74.3
53 Miami Ohio          74.0
54 Pittsburgh          73.9
55 Nebraska            73.7
56 BYU                 73.6
57 Cincinnati          72.6
58 Clemson             72.1
59 New Mexico          72.0
60 Fresno State        72.0
61 Kansas              71.7
62 Mississippi         71.2
63 Rutgers             71.0
64 South Carolina      70.9
65 Colorado State      70.8
66 Washington State    70.5
67 UNLV                70.0
68 North Carolina      69.4
69 Arizona             68.4
70 Northern Illinois   68.2
71 Air Force           66.0
72 UAB                 64.7
73 Kentucky            64.6
74 Troy State          64.3
75 Mississippi St      63.5
76 South Florida       63.3
77 Vanderbilt          63.3
78 Duke                63.2
79 Indiana             62.6
80 Navy                62.1
81 San Diego State     62.0
82 Washington          61.7
83 Rice                61.5
84 TCU                 61.4
85 Iowa State          61.0
86 Hawaii              60.6
87 Memphis             60.5
88 Louisiana Tech      60.3
89 Kent State          58.0
90 Houston             57.2
91 Wyoming             56.5
92 Temple              55.6
93 Ohio                55.3
94 Akron               55.0
95 Nevada              54.7
96 Tulane              53.0
97 Army                52.8
98 Baylor              52.0
99 Illinois            49.9
100 La-Lafayette       49.5
101 Middle Tenn        49.2
102 Tulsa              49.1
103 NM State           49.0
104 Florida Atlantic   47.5
105 East Carolina      47.2
106 La-Monroe          47.0
107 San Jose State     46.1
108 Central Florida    46.0
109 North Texas        45.7
110 Arkansas State     44.4
111 W Michigan         44.0
112 Buffalo            43.8
113 Utah State         42.4
114 SMU                42.1
115 Ball State         42.0
116 E Michigan         40.0
117 Idaho              39.6
118 C Michigan         32.3



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