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***NCAA Ratings***
The Predictive Ratings are a ranking of the 1-A teams according
to their estimated strength following their previous game. To
calculate the predicted outcome of a game, add three points to the
home team (if there is one) and find the difference.
Retrodictive Ratings order the teams according to how well
they have played against their schedules and how tough their
schedules are. The teams are ranked by who deserves to go to the
bowls most by playing the best against the toughest schedule.
I was recently informed by Todd Beck that my retrodictive
ratings were very, very similar to those of another rater, one of
the systems used to determine the BCS ratings. Since they are so
close to the ones I did, I refer you to Wes Colley for the
retrodictive aspect. Of course, since are retrodictive, they
won't appear until several weeks into the season.
***NCAA***
Predictive Ratings
08/13/2003
Pre-Season
1 Kansas State      115.5
2 USC               110.6
3 Oklahoma          103.3
4 Georgia           102.2
5 Iowa              101.7
6 Miami             100.9
7 Ohio State        100.0
8 Penn State         97.7
9 Virginia           97.3
10 Auburn            94.8
11 Washington State  93.7
12 Washington        93.7
13 Texas             92.3
14 Boston College    90.4
15 NC State          89.6
16 Boise State       89.3
17 Michigan          89.2
18 Oklahoma State    89.1
19 Virginia Tech     88.8
20 Maryland          88.6
21 Florida State     87.7
22 Pittsburgh        86.7
23 Purdue            86.6
24 Wisconsin         85.4
25 Colorado          85.2
26 Alabama           85.1
27 Missouri          85.0
28 Tennessee         84.7
29 Texas Tech        82.6
30 West Virginia     82.6
31 Connecticut       82.0
32 Marshall          81.0
33 Northern Illinois 81.0
34 Illinois          80.5
35 Texas A&M         80.4
36 Notre Dame        79.8
37 Florida           79.2
38 UCLA              79.0
39 Kentucky          79.0
40 Nebraska          77.6
41 Iowa State        77.2
42 Minnesota         76.8
43 Oregon State      76.8
44 Toledo            76.5
45 Mississippi       74.5
46 California        73.7
47 TCU               73.6
48 Arizona State     72.6
49 LSU               72.4
50 South Florida     71.7
51 Tulane            70.4
52 Georgia Tech      70.4
53 Arkansas          70.2
54 New Mexico        70.1
55 Ohio              69.9
56 Fresno State      69.7
57 South Carolina    69.4
58 Wake Forest       69.1
59 Vanderbilt        68.8
60 Central Florida   68.1
61 Hawaii            68.1
62 Miami Ohio        68.0
63 Syracuse          67.9
64 Southern Miss     67.4
65 Temple            67.3
66 Navy              67.0
67 Bowling Green     67.0
68 Arizona           66.1
69 North Texas       66.0
70 Clemson           65.6
71 Duke              64.8
72 Memphis           64.4
73 Colorado State    64.3
74 Cincinnati        64.2
75 Ball State        64.2
76 Michigan State    63.9
77 Air Force         63.8
78 Oregon            63.4
79 Mississippi St    63.1
80 Utah              62.4
81 Arkansas State    61.9
82 BYU               61.6
83 Northwestern      59.8
84 Stanford          59.2
85 Louisville        58.2
86 San Diego State   57.9
87 Akron             57.9
88 San Jose State    57.7
89 Middle Tenn       57.4
90 Wyoming           57.1
91 Houston           57.0
92 W Michigan        57.0
93 North Carolina    56.6
94 UNLV              56.3
95 Rice              56.2
96 Troy State        55.5
97 Rutgers           54.2
98 NM State          53.7
99 Idaho             53.4
100 East Carolina    53.3
101 UAB              52.5
102 Utah State       51.7
103 Nevada           50.8
104 La-Monroe        50.6
105 Louisiana Tech   50.6
106 La-Lafayette     48.6
107 Indiana          48.5
108 C Michigan       47.4
109 Tulsa            44.8
110 Army             44.3
111 Baylor           44.2
112 SMU              43.8
113 Kansas           42.8
114 Buffalo          40.2
115 UTEP             40.0
116 E Michigan       39.9
117 Kent State       26.4





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